China
September 2002
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September Article Abstracts
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Title: Sino-American Relations since September 11: Can the New Stability Last?
Author: David Shambaugh
"Although Taiwan, missile proliferation, missile defense, and the American military presence in Asia and Central Asia have the potential to upset Sino-American relations over the next year, the current stability is reason for cautious optimism. . . . Neither country needs or seeks a deterioration of relations or a return to the roller coaster of the 1990s. Indeed, both are otherwise preoccupied."
Individual/Password Download: 101_656_243.pdf
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Title: China's New Leadership: The Challenges to the Politics of Muddling Through
Author: Tony Saich
"Whoever succeeds [Jiang Zemin as general secretary] will take almost a full term to consolidate his position. . . . Whether this politics of muddling through will be sufficient for the next period is debatable-the leadership might be pressured to take a more dynamic approach."
Individual/Password Download: 101_656_250.pdf
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Title: Waiting for China's Lech Walesa
Author: Jeffrey N. Wasserstrom
"Has the Chinese body politic finally been infected by what Beijing officials have sometimes dubbed the 'Polish disease' . . . ? Could China's 2002 turn out to be like Poland's 1981, a turning-point year when cleansing fevers (to invert the medical metaphor) began to take effect?"
Individual/Password Download: 101_656_256.pdf
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Title: China's War on "Cults"
Author: Jason Kindopp
"China's leaders are well aware of the dangers of precipitating a Falun Gong-style campaign against another religious group, and appear eager to avoid doing so. Stung by the Falun Gong's tenacity and exhausted by the extraordinary measures required to flog its adherents into submission, they no longer have any illusions about the difficulty of wiping out religious groups that specialize in producing righteous martyrs. . . ."
Individual/Password Download: 101_656_259.pdf
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Title: Xinjiang: China's Future West Bank?
Author: Dru Gladney
"Not unlike Hong Kong (which under the one-country, two-systems formula continues to fly its own flag), the unique situation in Xinjiang calls for dramatic and creative solutions. The future of this region, which the American sinologist Owen Lattimore once called the 'pivot of Asia,' depends on it."
Individual/Password Download: 101_656_267.pdf
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Title: Quiet Struggle in the East China Sea
Author: Selig S. Harrison
"Growing attention has been devoted in recent years to projected oil and gas pipelines that would link Russian gas fields in eastern Siberia and Sakhalin Island to China, Japan, and the two Koreas. By contrast, there is little awareness of the high economic and political stakes involved in the quiet struggle now unfolding in Northeast Asia over seabed petroleum resources, especially the conflict between China and Japan over the East China Sea."
Individual/Password Download: 101_656_271.pdf
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Title: China and North Korea: The Close but Uncomfortable Relationship
Author: Andrew Scobell
"Many in Beijing would like to see the Pyongyang regime survive indefinitely, and the Chinese are doing what they can to prop it up." But China would also like to see "gradual (not dramatic) change in North Korea. It hopes to nurture the emergence of a reform-minded North Korea. . . . How realistic this goal is and how far Beijing is willing to pursue it remain unclear."
Individual/Password Download: 101_656_278.pdf
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Title: China and Pakistan: Strains in the Relationship
Author: Devin T. Hagerty
Although the American war on terrorism has altered the regional landscape, "China and Pakistan continue to derive substantial value from their close relationship. For Islamabad, Beijing remains its most steadfast friend in international affairs. United States interest in Pakistan waxes and wanes, but China has proved itself to be in Pakistan's corner over the long haul."
Individual/Password Download: 101_656_284.pdf
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Title: Sino-Japanese Relations: Competition and Cooperation
Author: Jonathan Lemco and Scott B. MacDonald
"Many analysts choose to focus on the points of contention between the Asian giants. This is perfectly understandable, for China's industries will grow and compete with Japan's worldwide, and Japan's more assertive military will complicate China's foreign policy goals. But the tensions are only half the story."
Individual/Password Download: 101_656_290.pdf
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Title: Book Reviews: On China
Author: Andrew Scobell
Individual/Password Download: 101_656_294.pdf
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Title: Four Months in Review
An international chronology of events from April-July 2002, country by country, day by day.
Individual/Password Download: 101_656_296.pdf
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Title: A map of China.
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