The Middle East
January 2003

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January Article Abstracts

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Title: America in the Middle East: Statesmanship versus Politics
Author: Augustus Richard Norton
"No matter who rules in Baghdad, George Bush will have to decide between the role of statesman and politician in Arab-Israeli peacemaking."
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Title: Iraq Before and After Saddam
Author: Judith S. Yaphe
"Iraq had a violent and unstable political culture before Saddam, and a stability bolstered by repression, fear, and wealth under Saddam. Could history repeat itself in Iraq? Could the country produce another Saddam-like figure by replicating the conditions and circumstances that propelled him to power?"
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Title: Hamas and the Transformation(s) of Political Islam in Palestine
Author: Sara Roy
"While an Islamist alternative still remains unacceptable to most Palestinians, the Islamists, notably Hamas, increasingly have become a . . . part of the Palestinian political landscape; as such, they will need to be incorporated into-not marginalized from-any future political arrangement. Despite its militant extremism, the Islamist movement has shown that it can be pragmatic."
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Title: Can the United States Promote Democracy in the Middle East?
Author: Amy Hawthorne
"In the aftermath of September 11, the United States has no alternative other than to begin to shift its role in the Arab world from an enabler of authoritarian rule to a supporter of gradual, but genuine, democratic change."
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Title: The Struggle for Egypt's Future
Author: Denis J. Sullivan
"Egypt after Hosni Mubarak may look much like it looks now: another military man in civilian clothing in charge of civilian technocrats mismanaging both the economy and the political system."
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Title: When War Isn't Hell: A Cautionary Tale
Author: Stephen Wrage
"In a setting where schoolchildren line the rooftops of Saddam's palaces and jamming devices interfere with guidance mechanisms, [precision weapons] may prove more seductive than productive. Indeed, they may prove largely unusable. As the president and his advisers draw up their war plans, they should maintain a healthy skepticism about the more sensational aspects of the promise of precision air power."
Individual/Password Download: 102_660_32.pdf
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Title: Iran: Doubting Reform
Author: Bahman Baktiari and Haleh Vaziri
"September 11 and subsequent developments have put to rest any idea that reforms will occur quickly in Iran or that relations will be restored with the United States."
Individual/Password Download: 102_660_36.pdf
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Title: Breaking the Yemen-Al Qaeda Connection
Author: Mark N. Katz
"It is the tribal view that the 'enemy of my enemy is my friend'-more so than common religious and ideological affinities or hostility toward the West-that motivates certain Yemeni tribes to cooperate with Al Qaeda. . . . Al Qaeda is merely the most recent in a string of 'friends' who have supported these tribes against the government."
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Title: The Month in Review
An international chronology of events in November, country by country, day by day.
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Title: A map of the Middle East
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